Tuesday, November 02, 2004

Mark Steyn On Why Bush Will Win

Mark Steyn has been one of the most astute observers of this election. His article in Today's London Telegraph summarizes what many people feel and hope is true, that hate will only get a candidate or a party so far:

This is, supposedly, the 9/11 election. But, in fact, on one side of the divide there's remarkably little interest in the war on terror and Iraq beyond the pro forma sloganeering. Mooching around New Hampshire these last few days, I've seen just one lone sign that any Democrat is even thinking about the subject: in the yard of a Kerry/Edwards supporter on Route 10 just north of Hanover was a placard that read "Support Our Troops. Bring Them Home". Tell it to the Marines, lady. Bring them home, discredited and defeated, to sit safe in their barracks and be told, don't worry, from now on you can be just like the Canadians and the Europeans – safe at home except for the odd stint as international traffic cops benignly presiding over some UN-mandated ethnic stalemate for decades on end. That'll do wonders for recruitment.

No, the big date for a lot of these people is not 9/11 but 11/7 - November 7, 2000, the date Al Gore had his election victory "stolen" from him. If you've seen Fahrenheit 9/11, you'll know that Michael Moore's film starts with a long prologue about the Florida recount, the Supreme Court decision, etc. It doesn't seem the most obvious material for inclusion in a film about Iraq, Osama and the Saudis. But, for the likes of Moore, November 7 is the issue: it's where the tale begins, it's what led to September 11, which is no more than a First Act plot-twist cunningly manipulated by Bush to obscure what the story's really about.

Even if you sue in all 50 states, I don't think you can make a majority for the Michael Moore view of Bush. Al Gore did his best two years ago, travelling hither and yon on behalf of gubernatorial and Congressional candidates, and you can basically correlate their margin of defeat by the amount of time Al spent campaigning for them. Everywhere he went in 2002, the unprecedented unPresident had a consistent message: This election isn't about the war or the economy, it's about me and "the disputed Florida vote two years ago".

Read the whole thing.

Be sure to check the current posts for updates.